5G NR Expected to Advance at a Faster Pace Than LTE
The latest Mobile RAN 5-year forecast report claims the robust demand for 5G NR will propel the cumulative worldwide RAN market to nearly $160 B over the next five years.
“Even if 5G will be just another ‘G’ initially, the reality is that for the carriers with the right spectrum assets, the mid-band Massive MIMO business case can be extremely compelling for the MBB use case,” said Stefan Pongratz, analyst with the Dell’Oro Group. “At the same time, we are more optimistic today about the mmW opportunity than we were a year ago. But, clearly, it will take some with the current inter-site distances before the cost per GB economics will be as favorable with the mmW spectrum as the mid-band sub-6 GHz spectrum using the existing macro grid and Massive MIMO,” continued Pongratz.
Other highlights from the Mobile RAN 5-Year Forecast Report:
- 5G NR will scale at a significantly faster pace than LTE.
- Sub-6 GHz spectrum is expected to drive the lion share of the RAN capex (Figure 1).
- New capex spending on IoT, Fixed Wireless Access, In-Building, and Public Safety opportunities for both private and public deployments will compose a double-digit share of the RAN market by 2023.
- Sub-6 GHz Massive MIMO transceiver shipments are projected to eclipse 200 million.
Dell’Oro Group’s Mobile RAN 5-Year Forecast Report offers a complete overview of the Mobile RAN industry with tables covering manufacturers’ revenue, transceivers or RF carrier shipments, unit shipments for base station controllers, and base transceiver stations for 5GNR, 5G NR Sub 6 GHz, 5G NR mmW, LTE, LTE FDD, LTE TDD, WCDMA, GSM, CDMA, and WiMAX. The report also include splits for macro and non-residential small cells and Massive MIMO.
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